It’s time to Break It Down!
Believe it or not, I really am going to go beyond what must appear to be my inexplicable fascination with the kudzu of a phenomenon that is D.J. Trump and his seemingly Svengali-like master mining and domination of Republican Party Presidential politics. Honest. But not before I take one more peek behind the curtain at the new and improved Wizard…and this is not of Oz, if you know what I mean.
Things became so bad that last week Mitt Romney delivered a planned (pre-released to the media) statement under the general heading of Trump is a fraud, annotated with a host of historical facts and implications referencing the Donald’s failed enterprises, his bait and switch initiative that appears tailor-made to hoodwink a gullible American electorate, and of course a notion that has emerged as a staple if not favorite GOP Establishment go-to chorus, Donald Trump is not a conservative.
Pause. Stop laughing. Cease rolling around on the floor. Pick my azz up and get back to my keyboard. On its face, this may not equate to Reefer Madness, but it is some of the funniest schiznit I have heard in…well, forever.
Why is that you may ask. There are too many reasons to articulate in this post alone, but I’ll share enough for you to get the general point.
Oh my, where do I begin? Let me start with the end. Consider that Willard “Mitt” Romney took to a podium in the official capacity of GOP (Establishment) Spokesman. Say what?
All things considered, that in and of itself is one heck-of-a mouthful. Considering Mitt was the architect of the GOP’s last failed attempt to wrest the White House away from those “dastardly” Democrats, doubling down, even to seek advice and counsel from him seems more than a little odd. Perhaps the only thing imaginable that would be stranger, not to add funnier, and borderline pathetic, would be for Mitt to have delivered his statement jointly with John McCain, President Obama’s other vanquished foe. But I digress.
Now back to Mitt, the emerging Elder Statesman of the Grand Old Party. The candidate of 47%, of Binders of women, of Corporations are people, of Romneycare (that was Obamacare…before Obamacare), and most notably the candidate who lost a plethora of critical voting demographics; so many that his loss to President Obama was virtually signed, sealed, and delivered. How bad was Mr. Romney’s showing? It was so bad that Team GOP conducted a post election audit, and in doing so found that the Party needed to fundamentally re-invent its approach to Presidential election politics.
As we enter the sunset of the Obama era Presidency, it is worth revisiting the areas in which President Obama bested business mogul and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney.
|2012 Presidential vote by demographic subgroup|
|Demographic subgroup||Obama||Romney||Other|| % of
|Gender by marital status|
|Protestant or other Christian||43||56||1||51|
|Religious service attendance|
|More than once a week||36||63||1||14|
|Once a week||41||58||1||28|
|A few times a month||55||44||1||13|
|A few times a year||56||42||2||27|
|White evangelical or born-again Christian?|
|White evangelical or born-again Christian||21||78||1||26|
|18–24 years old||60||36||4||11|
|25–29 years old||60||38||2||8|
|30–39 years old||55||42||3||17|
|40–49 years old||48||50||2||20|
|50–64 years old||47||52||1||28|
|65 and older||44||56||0||16|
|Gay, lesbian, or bisexual||76||22||2||5|
|Not a high school graduate||64||35||1||3|
|High school graduate||51||48||1||21|
|Some college education||49||48||3||29|
|Big cities (population over 500,000)||69||29||2||11|
|Mid-sized cities (population 50,000 to 500,000)||58||40||2||21|
|Towns (population 10,000 to 50,000)||42||56||2||8|
Source: Exit polls conducted by Edison Research of Somerville, New Jersey, for the National Election Pool, a consortium of ABC News, Associated Press, CBS News, CNN, Fox News, and NBC News. Total vote and results by region are based on the “Votes by state” section of this article.
Taking a look at the categories above, let’s zero in on a number of specific categories:
Total Vote – Obama 51% Romney – 47
Liberals – Obama 86% Romney – 11
Moderates – Obama 56% Romney – 41
Democrats – Obama 93% Romney – 7%
Women – Obama 55% Romney – 44%
Non-Married Men – Obama 56% Romney – 40%
Non-Married Women – Obama 67% Romney – 31%
Black – Obama 93% Romney – 6%
Asian – Obama 73% Romney – 26%
Hispanic – Obama 71% Romney – 27%
Other – Obama 58% Romney – 38%
Catholic – Obama 50% Romney – 48%
Jewish – Obama 69% Romney – 30%
Other Religion – Obama 74% Romney – 23%
No Religion – Obama 70% Romney – 26%
Few Times/Month – Obama 55% Romney – 44%
Few Times/Year – Obama 56% Romney – 42%
Never – Obama 62% Romney – 34%
Non-White Evangel. – Obama 60% Romney – 37%
18-24 Years Old – Obama 60% Romney – 36%
25-29 Years Old – Obama 60% Romney – 38%
30-39 Years Old – Obama 55% Romney – 42%
Gay/Lesbian/Bisexual – Obama 76% Romney – 22%
Heterosexual – Obama 49% Romney – 49%
Non High School Grads – Obama 64% Romney – 35%
High School Graduate – Obama 51% Romney – 48%
Some College Education – Obama 49% Romney – 48%
Postgraduate Education – Obama – 55% Romney – 42%
Under $30,000 – Obama 63% Romney – 35%
30K – $49,999 – Obama 57% Romney – 42%
Northeast – Obama 59% Romney – 39%
Midwest – Obama 51% Romney – 47%
West – Obama 54% Romney – 43%
Big Cities (500K+) – Obama 69% Romney – 29%
Mid-Sized Cities (50K to 500K) – Obama 58% Romney – 40%
Keep in mind this (2012) was a Presidential Election in which Mr. Romney endeavored to paint the Obama economy as trenchantly slow to improve, to frame the Affordable Care Act (Romneycare before it was Obamacare) as failed and costly government intervention, to characterize American Foreign Policy as feckless and ineffective, to describe the administration’s immigration policy as both costly and pandering, to suggest the President’s Same-sex marriage initiative as a tack that would destroy the American Culture, and to propose eliminating the minimum wage (which President Obama campaigned to increase). There were other issues of note, to be sure, but those items above include a litany of items that Team Romney attempted to use as a club with which to batter the Obama Administration/Campaign on a daily basis. It didn’t work; hence the Republican National Committee’s audit and recommendations to reinvent itself ahead of the 2016 Election.
To cast Mitt Romney in the role of the long arm of the GOP law, tasked with brandishing his Light Saber and coming to the rescue in order to rid the political Galaxy of the Darth Vader that is Trump, no matter your political affiliation or ideology, that is just bordering on the jagged edges of sheer disbelief. Yet, that is the space in which the GOP Establishment finds itself, for all practical purposes, desperate for the Establishment Empire to Strike Back.
Despite the perceived strange nature of the individual selected to deliver the message, there is evidence that the effort has some degree of resonance. Of the four states up for grabs in GOP balloting this past weekend, Ted Cruz bagged Kansas and Maine, while Donald Trump claimed Louisiana and Kentucky. Both declared victory, and in fact, were winners, of sorts. Cruz was able to continue claiming he is the only candidate poised to trump Trump (as Rubio and Kasich trail badly, and Carson conceded he sees no path forward), while Trump continued to amass delegates and hold on to his overall lead.
Last night, the battle continued. Mississippi, Michigan, Idaho, and Hawaii voted yesterday. At the time this post was released, Trump had secured victories in Mississippi and Michigan; Idaho went to Ted Cruz. Trump, Rubio, and Kasich (in that order) trailed. Hawaii’s returns came in late due to its Time Zone. For the Keepers of the Flame (of the ranks of the GOP Establishment), more bad news. Trump won easily!
So to summarize the theme of the day, dismiss the all the protest messaging of the GOP that suggests that everything is OK. The Party may not be in disarray; that’s true. But there is every reason to believe, based upon ample evidence, the panic button has been pressed. Any argument to the contrary is pure unadulterated wishful thinking…or worse…read that falsifying the facts. The bottom line here is the Party handlers and message makers do not want Donald Trump to represent the GOP in this fall’s general election. At this point, that is exactly what at least a plurality of those voting are making perfectly clear, more often than not. To wit, what we are witnessing is, “The (GOP) Empire Strikes Back, or…Developing a Systematic, if Late-to-the-Party, Strategy to Contain Donald J. Trump!”
I’m done; holla back!
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This is a mouthful. I love the research. Great job as usual.Finally. I am back as a subscriber/follower.
Happy to hear that you’re back on board.